Saturday, December 17, 2016

Investment in startups - Facts and changing Scenario in future





Just
a month back when I was reading business headlines from economic times. 
It was having full coverage on how OYO is going to expand its market in various
areas.


This
is just a beginning in the contrast of new developments in India and South Asia
market.

OYO
is the brainchild of Ritesh Agarwal and one of his friend, and during 2014 he
started implementing his thought and ship is built in the sea.  This idea
was shared by one of the guy in Delhi who was then writing mini-blogs on new
startups, so this was the same idea which I read in one of the blogs during
2012. The creator can be the executor, but sometime creator only create the concept
and some other people work on its execution, so they are known in the
ecosystem.   Many examples are there, and you can find many more
startups who succeed to create a valuation of more than 16 Billion Dollar. 
Flipkart is one of the best examples. 





Purpose
of writing this blog is to predict the future of Startups in the coming
days.  I am very much sure that Founders, Co-Founders are going to lose
control, and they are going to leave their brainchild in the hands of
Investors.  





Let's
figure out the latest successful startups companies and how they will go in the
hands of the investor in the coming days. 





Here
are the talk of the town these days.





1.
OYO


2.
Paytm


3.
Flipkart


4.
Swiggy


5.
Ola


6.
Makemytrip


7.
Bookmyshow


8.
Grofers


9.
Bigbasket


10.Cardekho


11.Urbanladder


12.
Policybazar


13.
Justdial


14.Shopclues


15.Zomato


16.Snapdeal


And
many more. 





Must
have an analysis that common instinct is above all startups. Just make a
brainstorming? 





Okay, 
Lets us figure out the instinct and driven force which is giving acceleration
to these startups is " Technology" driven platform. IT  makes
them reach beyond the boundaries and scaling them to become a billionaire club
member. 





Let's
take a few  from the list where I will give some small pin and pain points
which help you to understand what they will do in the near future and who is
going to benefit. 





OYO
Rooms: 





The
concept is straightforward  but innovative as it was not tasted before in
India in the hotel industry. USD 460 million valuation as on August, 2016,
and Softbank has more tha 50% stake in this startup.  Yes, OYO  is brainchild of Ritesh Agarwal
who started working on this concept since 
2012.





Bringing
standalone hotel properties under one brand name “ OYO” and promoting their
existence to end consumer through B2C Application and various ATL/BTL marketing
Activities.





What
OYO is doing :











  1.      Standardisation in terms of
    the physical appearance of Rooms, Look and feel and ambience of the hotel
    reception. Simple processes.  

  2.      Digitise end to end
    interface.  Customer can find hotel rooms on OYO App and accordingly best
    deal can connect them to OYO rooms. 

  3.       .  Marketing OYO concept
    through various channels of marketing. 

  4.         Asset Light
    Model.  

  5.   .     Invested in infrastructure
    and manuals.





I
am expecting that by the end of 2019  OYO will have more than 10 billion
valuations and one of the fasted growing hotel chains without owning a single
hotel. OYO is now UNICORN.  





OYO
will be the biggest hotel chain, more than 10 billion valuations by 2019 and by
then Founder will have a 5% or more stake in the company, and still, they will
have handsome money in hand.  But do you think that money will make Founder
happy after creating such a large valuable empire? No, after certain time money
for an individual matter only matter, and passion and fashion become the brain
ride. Social status and sentiments with the company make them more connected.
Ritesh Agarwal is still young, so I will suggest him to do not rush to expand
business amid greed by funding.  You are coming under the trap of
funding.  By 2020 when OYO will have more than 10 billion USD valuation. 
no doubt by then Founder will have 5% stake, but that will have worth more than
expectations. But, then VC funds will have direct control and maybe time will
tell whether you will be minority regards to stakeholding. 





I
am not sticking to 5% will be his stake in the company, maybe he can find some
financial institutes who can finance him, this way he can grow his stake up to
30% or more by infusing debts. But it depends on the strength of the brand that
time. No one can predict the future, but things go accordingly. 








PAYTM: 
 PAYTM 
 one
of the brainchild of Vijay Shekhar, an One97  communications brand. So far
raised USD 1.7 billion funds from various VC funds and currently valued at USD 7
billion. Here we can see the valuation matrix how it went from scratch to sky
just after demonetisation.  In only two year growth is more than three
times.  A big investor like Alibaba is playing a major role where they are
going to have a total controls in the next five year. Things are changing
dramatically, but why.  You need to think that Paytm is working in India
where more than 100 crores population reside. So we should not feel so
astonished because this is just 30% of the population is using online mode of
payments/ transactions so think when these numbers grow to 50% or more. 
Don't you believe Paytm will have more than USD 20 Billion valuations if users
grow at the end of year 2019. 





My predictions
for Paytm :   V
aluaton will be USD 16-20
billion by 2019-20.


Will
have more than 70% stake by the Investors.  





I
am quite confident that Vijay Shekhar will be quite lucky to have more than 20%
stake even after reaching to a stagnant position or saturation.





Above
two examples is enough to acknowledge my write up. 





Another
big example is going to set by the Sachin Bansal and Binny Bansal,
  I think the way company “ Flipkart” is losing financials on year on year basis and the way infusion of money is coming from
investors, both will have below 10% stake in the company in coming two or three
year.
 





Any
way,  at a sudden flood of investment coming from various VC, Angel and
seed capitalists and their aim is to build a virtual valuation over some time
so that they can sale their stake at higher valuation level and reached to
unicorn club.  This is just a myth that Indian companies are going
aggressive in terms of business.  Not actually it is going, but part of
valuation fact is  where there is no
business viability seen even beyond five years, an ideal benchmark for getting
any business sustainable. 





I
think technology is going to drive the next level of business scenarios. 
India is full of opportunities where the retail sector is getting better shape
day after day.   As per the unorganised data Retail will have mor
e
than USD 1 Trillion market by 2020  





Let's
talk about startups which are active in Retail sectors, and I will say retail
players who are driving organised trade in Kirana the Grocery market. 
Let's have a look who are the big players as on date.





Retail
players in B2C in India :  National Level players.  Lots of companies
are there in India who are operating Kirana retail at regional level so about
them I will write later. 





Physical
formats: 


1.
Reliance fresh


2.
D-mart


3.
Future Group  Big Bazar and Easyday


4.
More 


5.
On Door  ( MP based )


6.
Vishal Mart





I
bag pardon from retail companies whose name was escaped while writing the name
in above list.  Here D- Mart is seen growing in a great way, seems they
are targeting an IPO in coming years. As regards to Reliance Fresh, they are useful
at making turnover, but still, profit is a little bit far away.  
Here I am sure that Reliance will go for raise money from foreign investors for
strengthing their Retail business,  here
they will not use their own money. Either they will go for raise money from IPO
or from Venture capital or PE firms.





Now, 
will talk about  Future group of Kishore Biyani.   Here Future
group has more than 7000 crore annual revenue from all formats. As per March
2016 Financials ( Rs. 6844.96 Crore) Kirana contributes approximately 40% of
total income, rest comes from fashion and food stores.  After many years
in the market still struggling to get sustainability. Mr Kishore Biyani is well
known and great artiest of Retail, even who is facing issues so what is left
for else.





No
doubt, I have same feeling for Kishore Biyani, this group has ample debts in
books which can not be paid until someone infuse money in a strategic tie-ups.
I think, there are only two giants in space , one is Amazon and other is
Reliance. I am sure Future group will have great
acquisition by either one.









It
seems that Indian entrepreneurs have some born mindset that they will be exit
from the business once they will reach to a certain valuation, even plan is
preset at the time of starting venture that what will be the exit plan. What
does it mean, business should be on going process so, when founders are in such
thought that they will take a exit at certain time or certain point it
means that are not sure about the concept and business workability, scalability.
  All are going just for changing the hats.





On
the other hand eB
2C players like Amazon is going to deepen their roots in the
ecosystem. They are trying to establish a network of mic
ro stores through will
they can feed hyperlocal need, this will make them competitive. Omnichannel is
the next future for eB2C.  





On
the other hand,  Big overseas players like Walmart, Metro are investing
heavily in creating infrastructure and passionately going to acquire an existing
business platform where they can feel appropriate box for their upcoming ground-level
strategies. Mind-blowing things are going to happen. Thailand based LOTS ( CP Wholesale ) is also planning to come India. 





Now
the retail market is so vast which need separate stream for writing about it in
a whole story or page, so I am feeling the same while writing down about
developments in India retail , so things are little bit going in trenches for
me to make an index of Indian Kirana Retail.







  • In
    this view I am going to categories Indian Retail Market as under :

  • ·        
    Hyper
    Market   ( Big Bazar, Dmart, Hypercity etc.)

  • ·        
    SuperStore 
         ( Easyday, Reliance Fresh, More)

  • ·        
    Hyper-Local 
        (Regional level players, earlier grofers were doing this)

  • ·        
    Last
    Mile Connectivity Connector  ( Retailers for few b2b retailers like
    Shopkirana & Storeking)

  • ·        
    B2B
    Retail formats ( Storeking, Shopkirana, Urbanladder, & Jambotail)

  • ·        
    Ecommerce
    web-based and App  based  ( Amazon, Snapdeal, Grofers )

  • ·        
    Direct
    Marketing   ( very few like Amway, Evon etc.)

  • ·        
    Simply
    Grocers  ( Pure Staples like local kirana)

  • ·        
    Retailers,
    Mom & Pop , Bricks & Motar , Conventional Stores.  ( 12 Million
    Stores )

  • ·        
    Discount
    Masters  ( Mostly in garments and mix products )

  • ·        
    Category
    Killers  ( Not in India)

  • ·        
    Kiosk. 
     ( Mostly in Electronics, Beverages)
     








My
more focus is on point no. 9   Indian Kirana Stores  ( Mom and
Pop stores).  I will have more things to write on Indian Kirana.





Retail
is detail, so there is endless ink to give a perfect write up.





Writer: Balwant Singh Rana


Sunday, February 14, 2016

Delegation of Authorities - A Perfect Corporate Culture





Some times we stuck in our office with some functional crunches. despite proper resources, we couldn't get the desired result in task-based assignments. This happened when we don't delegate authorities. I have seen in many companies where the owner of the company is engaged in all functional areas, though we hired respective domain experts and paying them handsome salaries and perks, trust stay with the owner, I must say trust stay at the corner.

Generally, a company engaged in retail business has proper functioning departments. Depending upon the size of the organization department either is headed by VP level or GM level. a typical organizational hierarchy. in the current scenario, A GM level experienced professional draw 15 to 20 lakh annual package and VP level may go up to 50 lakh.



An average monthly salary comes to a handsome sum. Now, a question comes in mind about why we have a functional hierarchy in our organization if all decision level power stays with the owner. This is not a rare problem I am pointing at but is on a large side. most of the Indian business houses follow it well. When someone asked me to join their company as a management consultant, I directly jump to this area and tried to know that how much interference the company owner has in companies' routine inter-departmental functionalities. I suggest them in my way.



A simple management lesson we had studied in our school or college time that the Delegation of authorities is given to HODs so that they can run their department independently and responsively and can be held responsible for not performing well.

Here are a few tips for my few followers :



1. Hire an experienced professional through your expert HR mechanism.



2. Assign KRA and KPI. based on the KPI delegate full authorities. Of course, there should be checks and control at your end so he or she doesn't misuse authorities.



3. Design department wise MIS format but the format should be simple and should address the KPI factors and measurements. Let them work as per the nature of their Job and do not force a short period review. The review should be done every month or quarterly. especially for departments like Production, Procurement, F&A should be done monthly and for marketing and sales, it should be quarterly. results of any spending by marketing dept will come in a little bit longer period so sales monthly review will not give the desired result in the Retail segment.



4. I appreciate each performer in review meetings. Few of HODs may not perform well, it does not mean that they will not perform in the next review so do not discourage them. Try to find out reasons n give them your moral support.



5. Professionals from an accounting background like CA remain calm and cool. here you need to be humble to them. They need a smooth environment so then only they can think to manage your accounts and finance efficiently.



6. Make a friendly relationship with your team and help them when they need it. Emotions create a big role in personal bounding.



7. If you appoint someone in your company, it becomes your moral responsibility to retain and develop them to your level. reshuffling is the best way to make every employee all-rounder.



8. Develop the skill, it is very economical compare to hiring a skill.



9. Human resources should have prime roll develop Human first.above is just a simple line for new startup company owners. Since many of them follow my simple sayings so hope you will measure these little things and try to adapt in routine life.



Startup culture is different means there people are counted machines so sometimes they are emotionless but for the long run and sustainable growth of organization need a culture carrying " People's First" approach.

-----------------





In this topic as a writer I tried to capture few main points which is required to consider for proper delegation of authority, however if we go academic way lots of books are written by renowned writers.







Thanks/

Bs Rana 






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